SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Loughgall |
61.84% ( -0.05) | 20.25% ( 0.02) | 17.91% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( -0.02) | 38.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( -0.02) | 60.95% ( 0.02) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( -0.02) | 12.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.51% ( -0.04) | 37.49% ( 0.04) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.03) | 34.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( 0.03) | 71.73% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 61.84% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
