SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
52.06% ( -0.06) | 23.57% ( -0.04) | 24.37% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.27) | 45.23% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.25) | 67.57% ( -0.25) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( 0.07) | 17.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.21% ( 0.13) | 47.79% ( -0.13) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.23) | 32.54% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( 0.26) | 69.07% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.79% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 24.37% |
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