SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 76.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 8.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.85%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Loughgall win it was 2-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Linfield |
8.91% ( 0.66) | 14.52% ( 0.92) | 76.57% ( -1.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.7% ( -2.38) | 33.3% ( 2.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.93% ( -2.78) | 55.07% ( 2.79) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.97% ( -0.29) | 45.03% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.04% ( -0.23) | 80.96% ( 0.24) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.85% ( -0.82) | 7.15% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.98% ( -2.22) | 26.02% ( 2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Linfield |
| 2-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 8.91% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.39)Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.52% | 0-2 @ 11.2% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.27)0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.68)1-3 @ 7.86% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 6.5% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 5.18% ( -0.32)0-5 @ 3.43% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.15)0-6 @ 1.51% ( -0.23)1-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.2)2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.37% Total : 76.56% |
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