SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.26%) and 0-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Glenavon |
25% ( 1.4) | 21.62% ( 0.66) | 53.39% ( -2.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.33% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.46% ( -1.7) | 35.54% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.41% ( -1.91) | 57.59% ( 1.91) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.13) | 26.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( 0.18) | 62.1% ( -0.17) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( -1.18) | 13.48% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% ( -2.42) | 40.5% ( 2.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.13% Total : 25% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.18)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 53.39% |
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