SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.17%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
56.17% ( -0.07) | 21.91% ( 0) | 21.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.06) | 40.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0.07) | 62.83% ( -0.07) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( -0) | 14.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( -0) | 42.07% ( 0) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.1) | 32.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( 0.11) | 68.51% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 56.17% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.92% |
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