SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Loughgall |
54.26% ( -0.15) | 22.08% ( -0.07) | 23.66% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.59) | 39.16% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.61) | 61.49% ( -0.61) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.15) | 14.45% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( 0.29) | 42.4% ( -0.29) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.51) | 29.83% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( 0.61) | 65.91% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.26% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 23.66% |
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