SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Crusaders |
23.34% ( -0.3) | 22.12% ( -0.05) | 54.54% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( -0.13) | 39.73% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% ( -0.13) | 62.08% ( 0.13) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -0.32) | 30.4% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( -0.39) | 66.6% ( 0.39) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( 0.07) | 14.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.4% ( 0.13) | 42.6% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.34% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.54% |
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