Nothing but a home triumph is anticipated for Cruzeiro, whose 100% record meets the away side's one-point-from-12 wretched sequence on their travels.
While the visitors seldom lose heavily on their travels — and a similar pattern should continue — they are not expected to come away with a positive outcome in Belo Horizonte.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cruzeiro.
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