Goals have been a constant feature of this matchup, and we expect the trend to continue here. That said, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors to come away with maximum points in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
-0.05) 
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