SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Cruzeiro |
55.44% ( -0.02) | 23.19% ( 0.07) | 21.36% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.36) | 46.8% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.34) | 69.06% ( 0.33) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( -0.14) | 16.72% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.36% ( -0.24) | 46.63% ( 0.24) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( -0.25) | 36.14% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( -0.26) | 72.92% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.36% |
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