Both teams are in good form going into this match, and we expect a closely-fought contest – however, the home side have been unbeatable on their own turf, which is why we are backing them to win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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