Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
61.35% ( 0.11) | 20.55% ( -0.04) | 18.09% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.27% ( 0.06) | 39.73% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.91% ( 0.06) | 62.08% ( -0.06) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( 0.05) | 12.49% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% ( 0.11) | 38.47% ( -0.1) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( -0.04) | 35.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.04) | 72.19% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 61.36% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.09% |
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