SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
56.14% ( -0.05) | 20.74% ( 0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.17) | 33.36% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.2) | 55.14% ( 0.19) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( -0.07) | 11.95% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.66% ( -0.15) | 37.33% ( 0.14) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.09) | 27.05% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% ( -0.12) | 62.42% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 23.12% |
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