SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
44.62% ( -0.13) | 26.49% ( 0.08) | 28.89% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% ( -0.31) | 54.14% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% ( -0.26) | 75.56% ( 0.25) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -0.2) | 24.15% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -0.28) | 58.47% ( 0.28) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.13) | 33.67% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( -0.14) | 70.32% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.61% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.89% |
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