Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.91) 
0.55) 
