SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Banbury United |
48.87% ( 0.06) | 25.01% ( -0.08) | 26.12% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% ( 0.33) | 49.87% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( 0.3) | 71.86% ( -0.3) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.16) | 20.43% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.12% ( 0.26) | 52.87% ( -0.25) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.19) | 33.58% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( 0.21) | 70.23% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.12% |
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