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National League North | Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Darlington

Newton (16' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 2-1 Darlington
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
59.29% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33) 23.04% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 17.66% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.78 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.685 0.69)51.17% (-0.688 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.595 0.6)73.01% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (0.127 0.13)16.93% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.228 0.23)47% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.28% (0.85 0.85)42.71% (-0.854 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.95% (0.716 0.72)79.05% (-0.72 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 59.29%
    Darlington 17.66%
    Draw 23.04%
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 11.4% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-1 Banbury
Monday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 2-1 Darlington
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League North


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