SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Darlington |
59.29% ( -0.33) | 23.04% ( -0.04) | 17.66% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.69) | 51.17% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.6) | 73.01% ( -0.6) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( 0.13) | 16.93% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53% ( 0.23) | 47% ( -0.23) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.85) | 42.71% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.95% ( 0.72) | 79.05% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.66% |
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