Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.
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