SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Darlington win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
21.94% ( 2.8) | 25.54% ( 0.82) | 52.51% ( -3.62) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( 0.04) | 55.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( 0.03) | 76.67% ( -0.03) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( 3.03) | 40.48% ( -3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( 2.63) | 77.09% ( -2.64) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( -1.45) | 21.17% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( -2.3) | 54.03% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.23)Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.94% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.98)1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.78)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.41)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.22% Total : 52.5% |
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