SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
59.36% ( 0.24) | 22.73% ( -0.13) | 17.91% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.37) | 49.53% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.33) | 71.56% ( -0.34) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.21) | 16.33% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( 0.38) | 45.92% ( -0.38) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.09) | 41.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( 0.08) | 77.95% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.91% |
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