Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Den Bosch | Draw | Jong AZ |
36.57% ( -0.91) | 24.34% ( -0.01) | 39.1% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 0.02) | 42.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( 0.02) | 64.96% ( -0.02) |
Den Bosch Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( -0.47) | 23.08% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( -0.69) | 56.93% ( 0.69) |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.21% ( 0.48) | 21.79% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45% ( 0.71) | 55% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Den Bosch | Draw | Jong AZ |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.57% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.1% |
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