Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Deportivo Garcilaso win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | Lanus |
35.55% ( 0.21) | 27.94% ( 0.01) | 36.51% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.97% ( -0.02) |
| 41.97% ( -0.03) | 58.03% ( 0.03) |
| 21.29% ( -0.03) | 78.71% ( 0.02) |
| Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
| 68.96% ( 0.12) | 31.04% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.14) | 67.35% ( -0.14) |
| 69.56% ( -0.16) | 30.44% ( 0.15) |
