SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Union |
45.95% ( 0.98) | 29.18% ( 0.32) | 24.87% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 40.51% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.75% ( -1.62) | 65.24% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.94% ( -1.15) | 84.06% ( 1.14) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.28) | 28.61% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.34) | 64.42% ( 0.34) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.75% ( -2.13) | 43.25% ( 2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.5% ( -1.84) | 79.5% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 15.48% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.48% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.03% Total : 24.87% |
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