Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Union
45.95% ( 0.98)	29.18% ( 0.32)	24.87% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 40.51% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.75% (

-1.62)

65.24% (

1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.94% (

-1.15)

84.06% (

1.14)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0.28)

28.61% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-0.34)

64.42% (

0.34)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.75% (

-2.13)

43.25% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.5% (

-1.84)

79.5% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Lanus 45.94%

Union 24.87%

Draw 29.17%

Lanus	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 15.48% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 45.94%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.03% Total : 24.87%