SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
24.37% ( -0.93) | 29.26% ( -0.35) | 46.37% ( 1.28) |
| Both teams to score 39.94% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.25% ( 0.52) | 65.76% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.59% ( 0.36) | 84.41% ( -0.36) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.97% ( -0.57) | 44.03% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.86% ( -0.47) | 80.15% ( 0.47) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.94) | 28.64% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( 1.16) | 64.45% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.36% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 15.76% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.32)1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.46% Total : 46.36% |
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