Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Tachira | Draw | River Plate |
26.68% ( 0.24) | 26.08% ( -0.5) | 47.24% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( 1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 2.03) | 53.76% ( -2.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( 1.68) | 75.24% ( -1.68) |
Deportivo Tachira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.78% ( 1.3) | 35.22% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.03% ( 1.33) | 71.97% ( -1.33) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( 0.99) | 22.75% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( 1.45) | 56.44% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Tachira | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.66) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.24% |
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