SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Deportivo Tachira |
53.16% ( 0.25) | 25.95% ( -0.17) | 20.88% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.05% ( 0.51) | 57.95% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.35% ( 0.4) | 78.65% ( -0.4) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.32) | 21.9% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( 0.48) | 55.16% ( -0.48) |
| Deportivo Tachira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% ( 0.21) | 43% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% ( 0.18) | 79.29% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Deportivo Tachira |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.88% |
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