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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 9, 2023 at 12am UK
 

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Tachira

Estudiantes win 3-1 on penalties
Paredes (87')
Doldan (14'), Penilla (32'), Paredes (50'), Carlos Medina Perez (77'), Arenas (81')
FT
(aet)
Chacon (25')
Ramos (22'), Garcia (73'), Fioravanti (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Estudiantes Merida and Deportivo Tachira.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Metropolitanos 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Independiente 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
Estudiantes MeridaDrawDeportivo Tachira
29.62% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 28.23% (-0.02 -0.02) 42.15% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 45.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)60.16% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)80.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)36.32% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)73.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.070000000000007 0.07)28.19% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.092999999999996 0.09)63.88% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes Merida 29.61%
    Deportivo Tachira 42.15%
    Draw 28.22%
Estudiantes MeridaDrawDeportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 42.15%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Metropolitanos 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Metropolitanos
Tuesday, March 8 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Coquimbo
Thursday, November 5 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coquimbo 3-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, October 29 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, October 21 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 2-2 Estudiantes
Thursday, October 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tachira 0-1 Independiente
Wednesday, August 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Tachira (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tachira 3-0 Independiente Petrolero
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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