Aurinegro will be the more desperate side coming into this contest, which means that Palestra should be able to take their time and wait for the right moment to strike.
Verdao rarely miss opportunities presented to them in front of goal, and they look hungrier than ever to achieve perfection at this competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
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