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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
B

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Adams (40')
Sibley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (33'), Critchley (34'), Coulson (60'), Norburn (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Blackpool

Derby remain without a number of first-team players, but the Rams still have a lot of quality in their team, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Friday afternoon, with Blackpool likely to suffer if they are unable to call upon leading goalscorer Rhodes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
50.48% (0.196 0.2) 25.73% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 23.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)54.55% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.061 0.06)75.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.11499999999999 0.11)21.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.177 0.18)54.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)38.17% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)74.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 50.48%
    Blackpool 23.79%
    Draw 25.73%
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-3 Derby
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Charlton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Blackpool
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One


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