SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 81.59%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 5.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.38%) and 1-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
81.59% ( 0.06) | 12.68% ( -0.06) | 5.72% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.5% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% ( 0.31) | 37.37% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.34) | 59.58% ( -0.34) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.99% ( 0.08) | 7.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.36% ( 0.2) | 25.64% ( -0.21) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.55% ( 0.22) | 56.45% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.27% ( 0.13) | 88.73% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 81.58% | 1-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 12.68% | 0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 5.72% |
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