SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 65.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
65.04% ( -0) | 21.22% ( 0.01) | 13.74% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( -0.04) | 50.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0.03) | 72.61% ( 0.03) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.01) | 14.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.81% ( -0.02) | 43.19% ( 0.03) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% ( -0.03) | 47.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% ( -0.02) | 83.06% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 13.74% |
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