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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 27
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
D

Derry
1 - 1
Dundalk

Mullen (64')
O'Reilly (44'), Connolly (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mountney (21')
Keogh (57'), Gullan (74'), Boyle (78'), Dervin (78')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Derry
Monday, August 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-2 Galway United
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 10.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Derry CityDrawDundalk
70.74% (-0.157 -0.16) 18.6% (0.084 0.08) 10.66% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 43.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.159 -0.16)47.14% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (-0.148 -0.15)69.38% (0.14800000000001 0.15)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)12.07% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.41% (-0.191 -0.19)37.59% (0.191 0.19)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.19% (0.041999999999994 0.04)50.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79% (0.028 0.03)85.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 70.72%
    Dundalk 10.66%
    Draw 18.6%
Derry CityDrawDundalk
2-0 @ 13.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 70.72%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.15% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Derry
Monday, August 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Magpies 2-0 Derry
Thursday, July 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 5-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-2 Derry
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-2 Galway United
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 4-2 Drogheda
Friday, July 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Dundalk
Thursday, July 4 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-2 Waterford
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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