Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 10.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Dundalk
70.74% ( -0.16)	18.6% ( 0.08)	10.66% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 43.25% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.85% (

-0.16)

47.14% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62% (

-0.15)

69.38% (

0.15)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

-0.09)

12.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.41% (

-0.19)

37.59% (

0.19)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.19% (

0.04)

50.81% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.79% (

0.03)

85.21% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Derry City 70.72%

Dundalk 10.66%

Draw 18.6%

Derry City	Draw	Dundalk
2-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 70.72%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.6%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.66%