SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
20.61% ( 0.38) | 27.35% ( -0.2) | 52.04% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.73% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.28% ( 0.92) | 62.72% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.74% ( 0.67) | 82.26% ( -0.67) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.91% ( 0.98) | 46.09% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.21% ( 0.74) | 81.79% ( -0.75) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.33) | 24.44% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( 0.46) | 58.88% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.61% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 15.87% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( -0.17)1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
