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Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Q

Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 0
Qarabag

Pjaca (30'), Kulenovic (75', 80')
Sucic (56'), Kulenovic (69'), Jakirovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romao (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Sibenik
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dinamo Zagreb103.33Kulenovic
2Rijeka82.67Ivanovic
3Hajduk Split51.67Livaja
4Osijek41.33Jugovic
5Sibenik41.33Agyemang
6Gorica31.00Kapulica
7NK Lokomotiva31.00Cop
8Slaven Koprivnica31.00Butic
9Istra 196120.67Maresic
10Varazdin10.33Mitrovski

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Qarabag FK

This is a really fascinating contest, and we are expecting it to be tight in terms of the overall aggregate score. Dinamo Zagreb will be bidding to claim a first-leg advantage, but we just have a feeling that a talented Qarabag outfit will be able to secure a draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawQarabag FK
51.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)17.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.010999999999996 0.01)31.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 51.75%
    Qarabag FK 24.81%
    Draw 23.44%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Sibenik
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Istra 1961
Friday, August 2 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Shakhtar
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Shakhtar
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 FK Vardar
Tuesday, July 23 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 5-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Tuesday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Qarabag
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League


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