SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 50.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Neman |
23.52% ( 0.01) | 26.44% ( 0.03) | 50.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( -0.1) | 57.34% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( -0.08) | 78.17% ( 0.09) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.05) | 39.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% ( -0.04) | 76.64% ( 0.05) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.06) | 23.01% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.09) | 56.82% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.35% Total : 23.52% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.03% |
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