SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Dominica had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Dominica win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Dominica |
74.04% ( 1.02) | 14.35% ( -0.33) | 11.61% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.21) | 23.26% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.28) | 42.6% ( 0.27) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.59% ( 0.11) | 5.41% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.81% ( 0.34) | 21.18% ( -0.35) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -1.16) | 32.61% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( -1.32) | 69.15% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Dominica |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.16)5-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)6-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 4.36% Total : 74.04% | 1-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.4% Total : 14.35% | 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 11.61% |
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