Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
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