Barrow's strong home form and Grimsby's away woes favor a home win. Although the away side's need for points adds intrigue, a tight game with Barrow edging it 1-0 is what we expect.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
0.03) 
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