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League Two | Gameweek 8
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
NC

Barrow
1 - 0
Newport

Stockton (20')
Ray (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Payne (65'), Bright (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Newport County

With Barrow left slightly frustrated by consecutive draws and Newport travelling with momentum in the playoff race, we anticipate an intriguing encounter on Saturday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawNewport County
51.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 51.23%
    Newport County 22.61%
    Draw 26.15%
BarrowDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Barrow
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two


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