SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
40.64% ( 0.09) | 26.61% ( 0) | 32.74% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.03) | 53.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.02) | 74.8% ( 0.02) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.03) | 25.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( 0.05) | 60.72% ( -0.04) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.07) | 30.47% ( 0.07) |
