SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
41.69% ( 0.31) | 24.59% ( 0.11) | 33.71% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( -0.64) | 44.26% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( -0.62) | 66.63% ( 0.62) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( -0.13) | 21.29% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( -0.2) | 54.22% ( 0.2) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.55) | 25.47% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( -0.76) | 60.3% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.71% |
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