Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.