With the knowledge that Crewe need to wipe out a two-goal deficit, an in-form Doncaster side should be confident of taking advantage of lapses in defensive concentration from their opponents on Friday.
The Railwaymen's form over recent months does not scream playoff success, and we feel that their dreams of promotion to League One will end in South Yorkshire.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%).
-0.05) 
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