Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
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