Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
