Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.61%) and 2-0 (4.85%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dordrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
39.29% ( 0.12) | 22.54% ( 0) | 38.17% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 67.19% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.53% ( -0.03) | 33.46% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.74% ( -0.04) | 55.26% ( 0.03) |
Dordrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.21% ( 0.04) | 17.78% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.5% ( 0.06) | 48.5% ( -0.06) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.07) | 18.27% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( -0.12) | 49.33% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Dordrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.17% |
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