SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.51%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Dordrecht |
44.68% ( -0.57) | 21.64% ( 0.12) | 33.69% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 69.82% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.44) | 29.69% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.18% ( -0.53) | 50.82% ( 0.54) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -0.36) | 14.18% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.11% ( -0.71) | 41.89% ( 0.72) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( 0.02) | 18.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% ( 0.02) | 49.95% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.7% Total : 44.68% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.69% |
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