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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Chelmsford City |
12.14% ( -0) | 17.63% ( 0.02) | 70.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.08) | 38.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.09) | 61.07% ( 0.09) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.23% ( -0.06) | 42.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.9% ( -0.05) | 79.09% ( 0.05) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.11% ( -0.02) | 9.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.23% ( -0.06) | 32.77% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 12.14% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 17.63% | 0-2 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 70.22% |
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