SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
70.02% ( 0.2) | 18.56% ( -0.15) | 11.41% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.51) | 44.99% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.49) | 67.34% ( -0.49) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( 0.2) | 11.65% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( 0.43) | 36.69% ( -0.43) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.95% ( 0.23) | 48.05% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.73% ( 0.17) | 83.27% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 70.01% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 11.41% |
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