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National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 3
Farnborough

Dembele (14')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kuhl (25' pen., 66'), Holmes (45+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawFarnborough Town
15.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0) 63.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (0.012 0.01)43.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (0.012 0.01)66.23% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (0.026000000000003 0.03)40.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 15.95%
    Farnborough Town 63.42%
    Draw 20.61%
Dover AthleticDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 4.42% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.95%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.61%
0-2 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.7%
0-4 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 63.42%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Farnborough
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South


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